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Disregard Short-Term Forecasts



“The function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.”

John Kenneth Galbraith,
Economist and Author

Market Forecasting is a Folly

Market Forecasts are Consistently Wrong.
Following Them Can Hurt Returns.


— Wall Street Strategists' Average Predictions
— Actual Market Returns

1 Source: Wall Street Journal Publications. From 1999 through 2005, numbers reflect Dow Jones Industrial Average forecasts. In 2006, the S&P 500® Index was used exclusively. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Investor Behaviors That
Improve Returns



Disregard Market
Forecasts

Be Patient

Consider Investing
When Feeling Fearful

Don't Jump In & Out of the Market

Tune Out Daily
Market Drama

Work with a Trusted
Financial Advisor

Disregard Short-Term Forecasts


“As stewards of our shareholders’ savings, it is important to share the wisdom we have acquired over more than half a century of investing.”

Chris Davis
Portfolio Manager and Chairman

Contact your financial advisor or visit davissma.com/education/wisdom

WISDOM of

GREAT INVESTORS





This material may be shared with existing and potential clients to provide information concerning market conditions and the investment strategies and techniques used by Davis Advisors to manage its client accounts. Please refer to Davis Advisors’ Form ADV Part 2 for more information regarding investment strategies, risks, fees, and expenses. Clients should also review other relevant material, including a schedule of investments listing securities held in their account. See important legal disclosure: click here.

Disclaimer

This material may be shared with existing and potential clients to provide information concerning market conditions and the investment strategies and techniques used by Davis Advisors to manage its client accounts. Please refer to Davis Advisors’ Form ADV Part 2 for more information regarding investment strategies, risks, fees, and expenses. Clients should also review other relevant material, including a schedule of investments listing securities held in their account.

Davis Advisors is committed to communicating with our investment partners as candidly as possible because we believe our investors benefit from understanding our investment philosophy and approach. Our views and opinions include “forward-looking statements” which may or may not be accurate over the long term. Forward-looking statements can be identified by words like “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” or similar expressions. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which are current as of the date of this report. We disclaim any obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate.

The graphs and charts in this report are used to illustrate specific points. No graph, chart, formula or other device can, by itself, guide an investor as to what securities should be bought or sold or when to buy or sell them. Although the facts in this report have been obtained from and are based on sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and such information is subject to change without notice.

The S&P 500® Index is an unmanaged index of 500 selected common stocks, most of which are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The Index is adjusted for dividends, weighted towards stocks with large market capitalizations and represents approximately two-thirds of the total market value of all domestic common stocks. Investments cannot be made directly in an index.

John Kenneth Galbraith is not associated in any way with Davis Selected Advisers, Davis Advisors or their affiliates.

Davis Advisors 2949 East Elvira Road, Suite 101, Tucson, AZ 85756 800-717-3477, davisadvisors.com